GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 8/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ferro 2 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Ferro 2 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while San Martín San Juan Res. are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 3.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferro 2 hold a 29.2-point power-rating edge (46.5 v 17.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.9% in the Reserve League, while Ferro 2 holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ferro 2

Probability

68.0%

Model confidence

15.9%

Ferro 2 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ferro 2LDWDL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
San Martín San Juan Res.LDDLL

GF 1 · GA 19 · avg 0.20/3.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Ferro 2San Martín San Juan Res.
36.5Attack25.4
57.1Defence0.0
41.3Form15.9
46.5Power17.3
1.87xG0.55
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