GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 3/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ferro 2 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Ferro 2 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Independiente Riva. Res. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Riva. Res. hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 47.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.9% in the Reserve League, while Ferro 2 holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ferro 2

Probability

34.1%

Model confidence

14.9%

Ferro 2 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ferro 2LWLWL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Independiente Riva. Res.LLWDW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Ferro 2Independiente Riva. Res.
36.4Attack40.9
56.1Defence56.1
39.4Form40.9
45.5Power47.6
1.02xG0.99
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