Ferro 2vs
Estudiantes La Plata Res
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 9/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Estudiantes La Plata Res · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ferro 2 0-1 Estudiantes La Plata Res, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ferro 2 0-1 Estudiantes La Plata Res
Original prediction
Estudiantes La Plata Res
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.74 | 24.0% | 23.3% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.1% | 28.0% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 1.87 | 47.9% | 48.7% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.87 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Projected Score
Ferro 2 0–1 Estudiantes La Plata Res
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Estudiantes La Plata Res
Probability
48.7%
Model confidence
48.7%
Estudiantes La Plata Res has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20