GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 5/13/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Boca Juniors Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Ferro 2 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Boca Juniors Res. are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Boca Juniors Res. hold a 23.0-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 68.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.6% in the Reserve League, while Boca Juniors Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Boca Juniors Res.

Probability

59.8%

Model confidence

18.6%

Boca Juniors Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ferro 2LWLDL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Boca Juniors Res.WLWDW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Ferro 2Boca Juniors Res.
36.4Attack58.3
56.1Defence83.3
39.4Form66.7
45.5Power68.5
0.54xG1.50
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