GGOALVIO

Kosovo · Superliga · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Feronikeli · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Feronikeli 3-1 Vushtrria

Original prediction

Feronikeli

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 18:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9945.3%44.7%-0.5 pts
Draw3.2627.6%26.9%-0.7 pts
Away3.3127.1%28.4%1.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.99 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-0.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.0–010%

Predicted outcome

Feronikeli

Probability

44.7%

Model confidence

44.7%

Feronikeli has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FeronikeliLWLLL

GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
VushtrriaLLLLL

GF 1 · GA 11 · avg 0.20/2.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
FeronikeliVushtrria
11.1Attack11.1
33.3Defence5.6
16.7Form0.0
25.0Power11.0
1.40xG1.01
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