GGOALVIO

Kosovo · Superliga · 8/26/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Feronikeli are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Gjilani are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (DLD), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Gjilani hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (47.1 v 49.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.5% in the Superliga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.5%

Model confidence

40.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FeronikeliLL

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.50/2.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
GjilaniDLD

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.67/1.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
FeronikeliGjilani
36.0Attack39.8
57.7Defence64.8
42.3Form41.7
47.1Power49.8
0.81xG0.93
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