GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 12/6/2025, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fernwald · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fernwald are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Weidenhausen are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Weidenhausen hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 51.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Fernwald holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fernwald

Probability

37.5%

Model confidence

37.5%

Fernwald has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FernwaldLLDWW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
WeidenhausenDDLDL

GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
FernwaldWeidenhausen
41.7Attack60.8
58.3Defence45.1
41.7Form49.0
48.8Power51.5
1.78xG1.71
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