GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 3/8/2025, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fernwald · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fernwald are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Weidenhausen are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Weidenhausen hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 51.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Fernwald holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fernwald

Probability

37.5%

Model confidence

37.5%

Fernwald has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FernwaldWWWWW

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
WeidenhausenWLLWW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FernwaldWeidenhausen
41.7Attack60.8
58.3Defence45.1
41.7Form49.0
48.8Power51.5
1.78xG1.71
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