Fernwaldvs
Weidenhausen
COMPLETEDGermany · Oberliga - Hessen · 9/23/2023, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fernwald · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Fernwald are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Weidenhausen are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Weidenhausen hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 51.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Fernwald holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fernwald
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Fernwald has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00