Fernwaldvs
Waldgirmes
COMPLETEDGermany · Oberliga - Hessen · 8/19/2025, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fernwald · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Fernwald are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Waldgirmes are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fernwald hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 39.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.6% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Fernwald holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fernwald
Probability
59.6%
Model confidence
59.6%
Fernwald has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60