Fernwaldvs
Waldgirmes
COMPLETEDGermany · Oberliga - Hessen · 9/11/2024, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fernwald · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Fernwald are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Waldgirmes are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Fernwald hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 39.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.6% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Fernwald holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fernwald
Probability
59.6%
Model confidence
59.6%
Fernwald has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40