GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 11/18/2023, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fernwald · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Fernwald are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Viktoria Griesheim are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Fernwald hold a 12.8-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 36.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.9% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Fernwald holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fernwald

Probability

62.9%

Model confidence

62.9%

Fernwald has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FernwaldLWLLD

GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Viktoria GriesheimDWLLL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FernwaldViktoria Griesheim
41.7Attack38.2
58.3Defence30.4
41.7Form32.4
48.8Power36.0
2.35xG1.03
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