GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 4/26/2025, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vfb Marburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fernwald are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Vfb Marburg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Vfb Marburg hold a 16.0-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.3% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Vfb Marburg holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vfb Marburg

Probability

37.3%

Model confidence

37.3%

Vfb Marburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FernwaldLWDWD

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Vfb MarburgDWWDL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
FernwaldVfb Marburg
41.7Attack50.0
58.3Defence66.7
41.7Form66.7
48.8Power64.8
1.43xG1.54
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