GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 3/28/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fernwald · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fernwald are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while TuBa Pohlheim are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Fernwald hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Fernwald holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fernwald

Probability

43.7%

Model confidence

43.7%

Fernwald has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FernwaldDDLWW

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
TuBa PohlheimWDLWD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FernwaldTuBa Pohlheim
41.7Attack55.6
58.3Defence33.3
41.7Form44.4
48.8Power45.9
1.90xG1.51
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