GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 3/22/2025, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fernwald · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Fernwald are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while TSV Steinbach II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Fernwald hold a 27.7-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 21.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.0% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Fernwald holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fernwald

Probability

75.0%

Model confidence

75.0%

Fernwald has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FernwaldDDWWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
TSV Steinbach IILLWLL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FernwaldTSV Steinbach II
41.7Attack38.9
58.3Defence0.0
41.7Form16.7
48.8Power21.1
3.15xG1.01
View match centre →