GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 8/31/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fernwald · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Fernwald are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while SV Steinbach are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fernwald hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 39.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.1% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Fernwald holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fernwald

Probability

57.1%

Model confidence

57.1%

Fernwald has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FernwaldWLLWW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SV SteinbachLLDWL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FernwaldSV Steinbach
41.7Attack45.1
58.3Defence32.4
41.7Form32.4
48.8Power39.0
2.27xG1.22
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