Fernwaldvs
SV Steinbach
COMPLETEDGermany · Oberliga - Hessen · 5/25/2024, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fernwald · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Fernwald are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while SV Steinbach are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Fernwald hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 39.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.1% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Fernwald holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fernwald
Probability
57.1%
Model confidence
57.1%
Fernwald has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60