GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 4/10/2027, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fernwald · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Fernwald are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Hummetroth are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Fernwald hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.0% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Fernwald holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fernwald

Probability

62.0%

Model confidence

62.0%

Fernwald has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FernwaldLDDWL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
HummetrothLLLLD

GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
FernwaldHummetroth
41.7Attack33.3
58.3Defence0.0
41.7Form0.0
48.8Power15.3
2.47xG1.16
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