GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 4/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fernwald · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Fernwald are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Hummetroth are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fernwald hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.0% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Fernwald holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fernwald

Probability

62.0%

Model confidence

62.0%

Fernwald has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FernwaldLWDDD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HummetrothLDWLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FernwaldHummetroth
41.7Attack33.3
58.3Defence0.0
41.7Form0.0
48.8Power15.3
2.47xG1.16
View match centre →