GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 10/12/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hünfelder SV · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fernwald are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Hünfelder SV are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Hünfelder SV hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 70.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Hünfelder SV holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hünfelder SV

Probability

43.2%

Model confidence

43.2%

Hünfelder SV has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FernwaldDDLWD

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Hünfelder SVWLLDW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
FernwaldHünfelder SV
41.7Attack75.0
58.3Defence58.3
41.7Form75.0
48.8Power70.9
1.50xG1.87
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