GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 10/14/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hünfelder SV · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fernwald are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Hünfelder SV are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Hünfelder SV hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 70.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Hünfelder SV holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hünfelder SV

Probability

43.2%

Model confidence

43.2%

Hünfelder SV has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FernwaldWWLWL

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Hünfelder SVWLLWW

GF 16 · GA 12 · avg 3.20/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FernwaldHünfelder SV
41.7Attack75.0
58.3Defence58.3
41.7Form75.0
48.8Power70.9
1.50xG1.87
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