Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hadamar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Fernwald are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Hadamar are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Hadamar hold a 16.0-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Hadamar holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hadamar
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Hadamar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80