Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Fernwald are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Friedberg are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 24.0-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.4% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Friedberg
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 18 · GA 8 · avg 3.60/1.60