Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fernwald · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Fernwald are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while FC Gießen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Fernwald hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 39.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.6% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Fernwald holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fernwald
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
47.6%
Fernwald has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20
GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20