Fernwaldvs
FC 1906 Erlensee
COMPLETEDGermany · Oberliga - Hessen · 4/6/2024, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fernwald · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Fernwald are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FC 1906 Erlensee are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Fernwald hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 34.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.6% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Fernwald holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fernwald
Probability
61.6%
Model confidence
61.6%
Fernwald has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20