GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 4/6/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fernwald · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Fernwald are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FC 1906 Erlensee are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Fernwald hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 34.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.6% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Fernwald holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fernwald

Probability

61.6%

Model confidence

61.6%

Fernwald has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FernwaldWLWLL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
FC 1906 ErlenseeLDLLW

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FernwaldFC 1906 Erlensee
41.7Attack41.2
58.3Defence30.4
41.7Form26.5
48.8Power34.5
2.37xG1.10
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