GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 9/29/2023, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Eddersheim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fernwald are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Eddersheim are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Eddersheim hold a 13.9-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 62.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Eddersheim holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Eddersheim

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

38.9%

Eddersheim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FernwaldWLWDW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
EddersheimWLDLW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FernwaldEddersheim
41.7Attack66.7
58.3Defence66.7
41.7Form55.6
48.8Power62.7
1.51xG1.68
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