GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 8/11/2023, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fernwald · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Fernwald are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Dietkirchen are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.33 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Fernwald hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 32.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.6% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Fernwald holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fernwald

Probability

65.6%

Model confidence

65.6%

Fernwald has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FernwaldDLDLW

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
DietkirchenLLL

GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.33/3.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
FernwaldDietkirchen
41.7Attack48.0
58.3Defence16.7
41.7Form23.5
48.8Power32.0
2.86xG1.28
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