Fernwaldvs
Dietkirchen
COMPLETEDGermany · Oberliga - Hessen · 8/11/2023, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fernwald · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Fernwald are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Dietkirchen are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.33 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Fernwald hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 32.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.6% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Fernwald holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fernwald
Probability
65.6%
Model confidence
65.6%
Fernwald has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.33/3.00