GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 11/21/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fernwald · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fernwald are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Bayern Alzenau are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fernwald hold an 8.7-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 40.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.0% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Fernwald holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fernwald

Probability

45.0%

Model confidence

45.0%

Fernwald has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FernwaldLDDWL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Bayern AlzenauDDLWW

GF 17 · GA 10 · avg 3.40/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
FernwaldBayern Alzenau
41.7Attack44.4
58.3Defence44.4
41.7Form22.2
48.8Power40.2
1.84xG1.38
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