GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 9/28/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fernwald · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fernwald are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Bayern Alzenau are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fernwald hold an 8.7-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 40.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.0% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Fernwald holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fernwald

Probability

45.0%

Model confidence

45.0%

Fernwald has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FernwaldWDLWD

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Bayern AlzenauLWWWD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FernwaldBayern Alzenau
41.7Attack44.4
58.3Defence44.4
41.7Form22.2
48.8Power40.2
1.84xG1.38
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