GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 8/28/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fernwald · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Fernwald are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while 1960 Hanau are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fernwald hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (60.9 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.9% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Fernwald holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fernwald

Probability

46.5%

Model confidence

9.9%

Fernwald has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FernwaldDDWLD

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
1960 HanauDWLDW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Fernwald1960 Hanau
44.4Attack77.8
77.8Defence33.3
55.6Form44.4
60.9Power53.1
2.00xG1.57
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