GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 9/9/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fernwald · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fernwald are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while 1960 Hanau are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and 1960 Hanau hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.4% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Fernwald holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fernwald

Probability

40.4%

Model confidence

40.4%

Fernwald has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FernwaldDWLWD

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
1960 HanauWWWLL

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Fernwald1960 Hanau
41.7Attack83.3
58.3Defence25.0
41.7Form41.7
48.8Power51.6
2.03xG1.85
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