GGOALVIO

Chile · Segunda División · 3/16/2024, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fernández Vial · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Fernández Vial are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.75 conceded, while Provincial Ovalle are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fernández Vial hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (39.8 v 29.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.7% in the Segunda División, while Fernández Vial holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fernández Vial

Probability

47.7%

Model confidence

47.7%

Fernández Vial has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fernández VialLLLD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 1/4
Provincial OvalleWLLWW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Fernández VialProvincial Ovalle
29.5Attack30.6
59.0Defence33.3
25.6Form16.7
39.8Power29.8
1.30xG0.67
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