Fernández Vialvs
D. Puerto Montt
COMPLETEDChile · Segunda División · 3/9/2024, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Fernández Vial are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LLD), averaging 1.33 scored and 2.00 conceded, while D. Puerto Montt are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and D. Puerto Montt hold a 15.2-point power-rating edge (39.8 v 55.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 1.33/2.00
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00