GGOALVIO

Chile · Segunda División · 3/9/2024, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Fernández Vial are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LLD), averaging 1.33 scored and 2.00 conceded, while D. Puerto Montt are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and D. Puerto Montt hold a 15.2-point power-rating edge (39.8 v 55.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.3%

Model confidence

42.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fernández VialLLD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 1.33/2.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
D. Puerto MonttWWLDD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Fernández VialD. Puerto Montt
29.5Attack39.7
59.0Defence66.7
25.6Form53.8
39.8Power55.1
0.60xG0.94
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