Fernando De La Moravs
Tacuary
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 8/29/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fernando De La Mora · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fernando De La Mora 1-1 Tacuary
Original prediction
Fernando De La Mora
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 41.2% | 42.7% | 1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.3% | 26.6% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.94 | 30.5% | 30.7% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.17 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Fernando De La Mora
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Fernando De La Mora has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60