Fernando De La Moravs
General Caballero
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 10/5/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
General Caballero · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fernando De La Mora 0-2 General Caballero
Original prediction
General Caballero
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.56 | 34.8% | 29.4% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.2% | 27.8% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.34 | 38.0% | 42.8% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
General Caballero
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
General Caballero has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60