Fernando De La Moravs
Deportivo Santani
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 10/25/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Santani · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Fernando De La Mora 0-1 Deportivo Santani, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Fernando De La Mora 1-3 Deportivo Santani
Original prediction
Deportivo Santani
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 23 October 2026 at 09:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.85 | 31.3% | 27.7% | -3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.09 | 28.9% | 29.2% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.25 | 39.8% | 43.1% | 3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.4 pts
Projected Score
Fernando De La Mora 0–1 Deportivo Santani
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Santani
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Deportivo Santani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60