Fernando De La Moravs
Deportivo Capiata
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 9/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Capiata · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fernando De La Mora 1-0 Deportivo Capiata
Original prediction
Deportivo Capiata
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.43 | 36.8% | 34.5% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.02 | 29.7% | 28.0% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.67 | 33.5% | 37.5% | 4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Capiata
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Deportivo Capiata has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00