GGOALVIO

Paraguay · Division Intermedia · 5/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlético Tembetary · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Fernando De La Mora are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Atlético Tembetary are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlético Tembetary hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (45.7 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the Division Intermedia, while Atlético Tembetary holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlético Tembetary

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

14.5%

Atlético Tembetary has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fernando De La MoraWLLLL

GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Atlético TembetaryWLWWL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Fernando De La MoraAtlético Tembetary
36.8Attack46.3
50.9Defence53.7
40.4Form42.6
45.7Power49.5
1.08xG1.25
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