GGOALVIO

Paraguay · Division Intermedia · 4/15/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fernando De La Mora · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Fernando De La Mora are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while 12 de Octubre are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Fernando De La Mora hold an 18.4-point power-rating edge (45.7 v 27.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.7% in the Division Intermedia, while Fernando De La Mora holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fernando De La Mora

Probability

58.7%

Model confidence

58.7%

Fernando De La Mora has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fernando De La MoraDW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
12 de OctubreLD

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
Fernando De La Mora12 de Octubre
36.8Attack26.7
50.9Defence31.1
40.4Form15.6
45.7Power27.3
1.72xG0.68
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