Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Trepça'89 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ferizaj are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Trepça'89 are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Trepça'89 hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 66.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.1% in the Liga E Pare, while Trepça'89 holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Trepça'89
Probability
56.1%
Model confidence
12.1%
Trepça'89 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40