Ferencvarosi TCvs
Ujpest
COMPLETEDHungary · NB I · 9/6/2026, 3:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ferencvarosi TC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ferencvarosi TC 2-2 Ujpest
Original prediction
Ferencvarosi TC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.36 | 67.0% | 49.8% | -17.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.77 | 19.1% | 23.1% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 6.60 | 13.8% | 27.1% | 13.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.77 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Ferencvarosi TC
Probability
49.8%
Model confidence
49.8%
Ferencvarosi TC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.20/0.20
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60