GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/27/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ferencvarosi TC · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Ferencvarosi TC 4-0 Trabzonspor

Original prediction

Ferencvarosi TC

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.0330.8%46.4%15.6 pts
Draw3.3627.8%26.4%-1.4 pts
Away2.2641.3%27.2%-14.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 2.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

15.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–013%
  2. 2.1–013%
  3. 3.1–111%

Predicted outcome

Ferencvarosi TC

Probability

46.4%

Model confidence

46.4%

Ferencvarosi TC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ferencvarosi TCWWDLW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
TrabzonsporWLDLW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Ferencvarosi TCTrabzonspor
57.1Attack0.0
76.2Defence66.7
81.0Form0.0
73.9Power23.7
1.90xG0.73
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