GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 10/3/2024, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tottenham · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ferencvarosi TC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Tottenham are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferencvarosi TC hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (72.4 v 70.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while Tottenham holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tottenham

Probability

36.6%

Model confidence

36.6%

Tottenham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ferencvarosi TCWLWWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
TottenhamWWWWL

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Ferencvarosi TCTottenham
61.1Attack62.2
72.2Defence71.1
77.8Form73.3
72.4Power70.2
1.05xG1.23
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