Ferencvarosi TCvs
Torreense
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 10/22/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ferencvarosi TC · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 3-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ferencvarosi TC 4-1 Torreense
Original prediction
Ferencvarosi TC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.29 | 73.4% | 62.9% | -10.5 pts |
| Draw | 5.47 | 17.3% | 21.1% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 10.17 | 9.3% | 16.0% | 6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.3–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Ferencvarosi TC
Probability
62.9%
Model confidence
62.9%
Ferencvarosi TC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80