GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 3/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ferencvarosi TC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ferencvarosi TC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while SC Braga are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferencvarosi TC hold a 24.6-point power-rating edge (72.4 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while Ferencvarosi TC holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ferencvarosi TC

Probability

59.1%

Model confidence

59.1%

Ferencvarosi TC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ferencvarosi TCWWWWL

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SC BragaDWWLW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Ferencvarosi TCSC Braga
61.1Attack83.3
72.2Defence0.0
77.8Form50.0
72.4Power47.8
2.14xG1.02
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