Ferencvarosi TCvs
Plzen
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 10/15/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ferencvarosi TC · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 3-0 (12%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ferencvarosi TC 2-1 Plzen
Original prediction
Ferencvarosi TC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 49.4% | 60.7% | 11.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.79 | 25.0% | 21.0% | -4.0 pts |
| Away | 3.71 | 25.6% | 18.3% | -7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.92 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.3–012%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Ferencvarosi TC
Probability
60.7%
Model confidence
60.7%
Ferencvarosi TC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60