GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 9/25/2025, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ferencvarosi TC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ferencvarosi TC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Plzen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferencvarosi TC hold a 13.4-point power-rating edge (72.4 v 59.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while Ferencvarosi TC holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ferencvarosi TC

Probability

42.8%

Model confidence

42.8%

Ferencvarosi TC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ferencvarosi TCDWWLL

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
PlzenLWWDW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Ferencvarosi TCPlzen
61.1Attack47.9
72.2Defence64.6
77.8Form58.3
72.4Power59.0
1.34xG0.91
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