Ferencvarosi TCvs
MTK Budapest
COMPLETEDHungary · NB I · 10/25/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ferencvarosi TC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ferencvarosi TC 5-0 MTK Budapest
Original prediction
Ferencvarosi TC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 65.8% | 48.1% | -17.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.82 | 19.0% | 26.2% | 7.2 pts |
| Away | 6.02 | 15.2% | 25.7% | 10.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Ferencvarosi TC
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
Ferencvarosi TC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40