GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 2/26/2026, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ferencvarosi TC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ferencvarosi TC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Ludogorets are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferencvarosi TC hold a 20.5-point power-rating edge (72.4 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while Ferencvarosi TC holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ferencvarosi TC

Probability

56.3%

Model confidence

56.3%

Ferencvarosi TC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ferencvarosi TCWLLWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
LudogoretsLWWWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Ferencvarosi TCLudogorets
61.1Attack66.7
72.2Defence41.7
77.8Form50.0
72.4Power51.9
2.02xG1.04
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