GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 11/6/2025, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ferencvarosi TC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ferencvarosi TC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ludogorets are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferencvarosi TC hold a 20.5-point power-rating edge (72.4 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while Ferencvarosi TC holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ferencvarosi TC

Probability

56.3%

Model confidence

56.3%

Ferencvarosi TC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ferencvarosi TCWLWDD

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
LudogoretsDLLDD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Ferencvarosi TCLudogorets
61.1Attack66.7
72.2Defence41.7
77.8Form50.0
72.4Power51.9
2.02xG1.04
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